Associate Director, US Forecasting
- Build and maintain dynamic, assumption driven models to be utilized in both Commercial and Supply Planning as well as Mid-Range Plan submissions (including market and competitive landscape forecasts) - using sound analytical assumptions and effective communication of rationale/methodology.
- Formulate key assumptions based on relevant data and work with cross-functional stakeholders to align on assumptions for multiple forecast scenarios.
- Leverage fact-based approaches and processes as inputs to forecasting, such as epidemiology, brand share estimation, market access dynamics, and competitive impacts.
- Works directly with Marketing, Market Access, Insights & Analytics, Finance, Supply Chain teams to address various business issues and provide solutions through analytical problem solving, defining risks and opportunities associated with the forecast.
- Track forecast accuracy and drive continuous improvements in forecast models and processes.
- Identify trends and opportunities within datasets to drive informed decision-making and performance improvements and impact on the demand/revenue forecast.
- Clearly articulate and frame the narrative and key messaging of monthly results compared to forecast
- Lead and influence stakeholders based on objective evidence (e.g., utilizing key data assessments as well as analog identification and application).
- Utilize and apply key market research insights and quantify financial impacts of marketing initiatives and competitive events.
- Collaborate with Marketing, Market Access and Patient Services teams to analyze critical metrics, key performance indicators and derive key insights from trends in product performance.
- Provide analytics thought leadership and develop creative ad-hoc models to address commercial questions and needs.
- Bachelor’s degree required; Master’s degree preferred
- 5 or more years of experience in a biotechnology or pharmaceutical company, with 5+ years in analytic or consulting roles
- Forecasting experience required, leading launch forecasting initiatives.
- Solid understanding of Gross-to-Net and Managed Market contracting with the ability to work closely with Market Access team to understand impacts and connection points with demand forecasting.
- Experience with advanced spreadsheets, patient based forecast modeling including dynamic patient models.
- Hands on experience working with patient-level data as well as syndicated data offerings; specifically, Specialty Pharmacy SPDI, IQVIA LAAD, XPO, XPD, NPA, NSP (or similar offerings).
- Experience extracting data from commercial data warehouse and working with BI tools to communicate data insights in impactful and visual ways across multiple levels of the organization.
- Proficient in a variety of data management and analytical tools such as Excel, PowerPoint, Power BI. Nice to have SQL coding experience.
- Demonstrated high resilience and agility as well as a keen analytical mindset, curiosity, and ability to proactively anticipate points of confusion.
- Proven experience communicating complex analyses in a simple and clear manner.
- Superb verbal and written communications skills.
- Strategic and innovative thinker with a proven ability to build relationships with key internal leaders to achieve consensus or negotiate through complex challenges.
- Excellent executive presence with superb written and verbal communication skills.
- Highly analytical with attention to detail and demonstrated ability to act decisively in the absence of complete information and be comfortable with appropriate risk.
- Ability to travel (~10% of time) to regional and national meetings.
- If your profile is a match, we will invite you for a first virtual conversation with the recruiter.
- The next step is a virtual conversation with the hiring manager
- The final step is a panel conversation with the extended team
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